Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.159981 0.180439 0.201950 0.226201 0.252726 0.280801 0.312710
2025-03-23 0.134960 0.162920 0.193874 0.230499 0.272455 0.318823 0.373738
2025-03-30 0.114167 0.146409 0.183756 0.229815 0.284670 0.347482 0.424389
2025-04-06 0.098155 0.133058 0.175179 0.229077 0.295481 0.373863 0.472565
2025-04-13 0.085317 0.121820 0.167575 0.228116 0.304996 0.398202 0.518463
2025-04-20 0.076391 0.114387 0.163682 0.230881 0.318513 0.427245 0.570492
2025-04-27 0.070271 0.109886 0.162902 0.237119 0.336185 0.461599 0.629807
2025-05-04 0.063288 0.103374 0.158706 0.238208 0.346756 0.486849 0.677970
2025-05-11 0.058690 0.099735 0.157990 0.243653 0.362959 0.519539 0.736310
2025-05-18 0.054874 0.096819 0.157932 0.249751 0.379989 0.553551 0.797047
2025-05-25 0.049367 0.090746 0.152765 0.248113 0.385997 0.572718 0.838323
2025-06-01 0.044931 0.085899 0.148977 0.248071 0.393968 0.594479 0.883335
2025-06-08 0.040446 0.080640 0.144315 0.246633 0.400104 0.614251 0.926762
2025-06-15 0.037970 0.078504 0.144308 0.252093 0.416313 0.648378 0.990681
2025-06-22 0.034543 0.074360 0.140764 0.251826 0.423920 0.670430 1.038211
2025-06-29 0.031422 0.070427 0.137238 0.251290 0.430937 0.691654 1.084903
2025-07-06 0.028556 0.066653 0.133668 0.250395 0.437221 0.711810 1.130365
2025-07-13 0.026629 0.064465 0.132615 0.253452 0.449577 0.741024 1.189337
2025-07-20 0.025446 0.063618 0.133815 0.260214 0.467855 0.779338 1.262201
2025-07-27 0.023530 0.061075 0.131797 0.261411 0.477270 0.804551 1.316351
2025-08-03 0.022424 0.060104 0.132542 0.267288 0.494279 0.841496 1.388410
2025-08-10 0.021485 0.059390 0.133691 0.273861 0.512542 0.880678 1.464460
2025-08-17 0.019578 0.056334 0.130210 0.272102 0.517038 0.898791 1.509310